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Power Classifications and the accompanying number ratings are used by the PRT to quickly identify parahuman threats and adopt strategies,[1] although it’s used by others as well, including by capes in India.[2] Each classification is matched with a number, where higher numbers pose a greater threat to public safety.[1]

In theory, power classifications are only intended to rate the threat posed by the power - not the user's skill or any other factor.[3] Nor are they intended to rate the "power level", usefulness, or raw strength of an ability; just the threat it poses to PRT personnel and civilians.[4][5][6] However, in practice they are often used poorly, or simply to cut through "red tape" and justify treating a parahuman a certain way.[5][7][8]

Current ClassificationsEdit

In modern day, the PRT has twelve different categories:[9]

Classification Meaning
MoverAn ability that enhances mobility.[9]
ShakerAn ability with an area of effect.[9]
BruteAn ability that grants enhanced strength or durability.[9]
BreakerAn ability that allows the cape to shift into another state.[9]
MasterAn ability that allows a cape to control others or create minions.[9]
TinkerAn ability that allows a cape to create or alter devices with futuristic technology.[9]
BlasterA ranged, offensive ability.[9]
ThinkerAn ability that focuses on information gathering.[9]
StrikerAn ability that is melee-ranged or touch-based.[9]
ChangerAn ability that allows the cape to alter their form or appearance.[9]
TrumpAn ability that allows the cape to manipulate powers in some capacity.[9]
StrangerAn ability that focuses on stealth or infiltration.[9]

It’s possible for parahumans to receive hybrid[10] and sub-classifications.[11] Hybrid ratings are issued if two or more aspects are irrevocably linked and are designated with a slash,[12] while sub-ratings are given if a power has side-effects or applications that belong in another category.[13][11] These are placed within parentheses.[11] It’s possible for the number assigned to sub-ratings to exceed the number assigned to the main power.[11]

HistoryEdit

The classification system was initially created by the PRT ground-patrol and response teams in New York[1] to classify villains.[14] Over time, the system was used to classify all parahumans,[14] and as many thirty categories were added to account for all the different types.[1] As the time passed, it was discovered that certain strategies were valid against broad groups of parahumans and classifications were condensed until twelve groups were left.[1]

Only two of the older classifications have been expanded upon: The Shifter classification, which dealt with parahumans that could alter their appearance[15] within human norms, and the Nuker designation, which covered Shakers with Blaster-like offensive potential and Blasters with Shaker-esque radius and potential for damage.[16] Other named older classifications include Catcher, Brick, Shaper,[17] Razor, and Controller.[18]

Number RatingsEdit

The numbers assigned to classifications are not an indication of raw strength of an ability. Rather, the number rating is a ballpark scale indicating the threat to a team. As such, the numbers also take into account the possibility of harm, but also panic.[1][19]

Exceptionally high or low degrees of control are important to take into account: The first for the possibility of targeting specific team members or civilians, the second for the dangers of collateral damage or aftereffects.[1]

While the number scale starts at one and rises up with no hard limit (still, 10+ are rare and denote very exceptional powers),[20] it’s also possible to receive a rating of zero,[21] or even a negative rating.[22]

It is the responsibility of PRT operatives and parahumans to familiarize themselves with the current ratings for all relevant threats.[1]

Threat level Estimation
1
  • Poses a threat only just above human norms, an unexceptional individual may be able to cope with the ability or walk away unharmed from an altercation where the abilities in question were leveraged.[23]
  • The ability should be assumed to be a non-threat and need not be identified if other matters prove more pressing.[23]
2
  • An alert, exceptional, well equipped, or trained individual should be able to answer or address the ability in question, but it can prove problematic.[24]
  • Team members are reminded of standard countermeasures and should put these measures in effect when there are no pressing other matters.[24]
3
  • Civilians, even alert or fit civilians, will not be able to handle the ability or abilities in question.[25]
  • Several trained individuals may be required to deal with the situation.[25]
  • Care should be taken to remove civilians from the area and discourage them from participating.[25]
4
  • One full squad of trained operatives should be able to deal with this situation alone, but exceptional circumstance, context and environment may bias things one way or the other.[26]
5
  • Additional countermeasures come into effect.[27]
  • A typical parahuman or one parahuman assisting a squad of operatives should be able to deal with the power in question.[27]
  • Operatives can engage until assistance arrives.[27]
6
  • A typical trained parahuman or one parahuman assisting a squad of operatives should be able to deal with the power in question.[28]
  • Operatives should postpone engagement.[28]
  • Parahumans and operatives should assume that traditional actions are going to be met by a complication.[28]
  • Acquiring further intel is recommended where possible, but not mandated.[28]
7
  • Parahumans should engage in pairs or trios at a minimum, two fully equipped squads should be deployed.[29]
  • Acquiring further intel is mandated, all acting parties should shift to the defensive or delay until intel can be acquired.[29]
8
  • Evacuation of civilians should take priority for all squad members.[30]
  • Engaging should be avoided outside of specific missions and tasks.[30]
  • Parahumans should engage only when supported by their team to ensure a minimum of complications or danger.[30]
9
  • Assume extreme complications, with standard tactics not applying, or the power in question having an additional factor that exaggerates its effect.[31]
  • Parahumans and PRT should evacuate where possible, and should only engage when a specific mission and strategy has been outlined.[31]
  • Major countermeasures should take effect.[31]
10+
  • In the event of a serious confrontation, additional teams or specific high-rated individuals should be called in to manage the crisis.[32]
15+

Known ClassificationsEdit

Note: This list describes the known classifications of different parahumans. For a full overview of their abilities, please check their individual pages.

Name Known ratings Power description
AccordThinker[33]Gets naturally smarter as the problems he is addressing get more complex.[33]
AcidbathBreaker[34]/Changer (Blaster, Striker, Mover)[35]Can turn into, sling blasts of, and move as a tidal wave of acid.[35]
AegisBrute, Mover[36]Poseesses redundant biology, always operates at peak capacity, can fly, unable to fear self-harm.[36]
AhrimaThinker[37]Danger sense and unspecified enhanced perceptions that can be rapidly transferred between targets distinguished by glowing yellow eyes.[37]
AlabasterBrute Thinker (minor)[38]Restores himself to pristine condition every seconds.[39]
More effective at maintaining and fixing gear.[38]
Dinah AlcottThinker[40]Has the ability to calculate the chances of a particular event occurring.[41]
AlexandriaBrute, Mover, Thinker[42]Has enhanced strength and a virtually invincible body.[43]
Capable of high speed flight,[43] comparable to Legend
Perfect memory, faster learning, perfect information retention, and heightened cognitive speed.[42]
AllfatherBlaster[44]Creates mid-air portals from which to launch volleys of weapons.[44]
AnnexBreaker, Shaker[45]Can merge into nonliving material and reshape it.[45]
AntaresSee: Glory Girl.[46]
AppraiserThinker[47]Rates situations using colors.[47]
ArbiterThinker, Blaster, Shaker[48]Mild danger sense, but it makes her aware of associated individuals and the threat they pose.[48]
Can create sonic blasts.[49]
Can create forcefields.[50]
ArmsmasterTinker[51]Specializes in efficiency, and hybrid and minimized technology.[51]
Ash BeastBreaker[52]Has a power that keeps him in good physical condition, involving matter-energy conversion.[52]
AssaultStriker 7[53]Capable of controlling energies of movement, acceleration and motion relative to himself and things he touches.[54]
August PrinceMaster/Stranger 3[55][56]Cannot be deliberately harmed by anyone.[57]
AurochBrute 2, Shaker 3, Striker 2, Mover 2[58]Generates an effect around her that controls inertia.[59]
BakudaTinker 6[60]Specializes in bombs.[60]
BambinaMover/Shaker 6[55][56]Can bounce off of walls and other objects, creating explosions with her impacts.[61]
BarrowShaker[62]Creates an effect described as ‘a depression’ with overgrowth around him. Cannot leave effected area.[62]
BatteryBreaker/Mover (speculative)Can build a charge to grant herself temporary super strength, invulnerability and an EMP burst
BaubleTinker[63]Specializes in glassworking and glassworking tools, including tools that could turn inorganic matter into glass.[63]
BehemothBrute 10[64]Has incredible strength, durability and regeneration.[65]
Big RigTinker[63]Builds drones that build things in turn, particularly buildings.[63]
BitchMaster[66]Can empower dogs with vastly increased size, strength, durability and agility and an covering of bony plates and spikes and exposed muscle.[67]
BiterChanger[15]Can distort the size of individual body parts.[68]
Black KazeMover/Striker[69]Teleports, while momentarily existing in all spaces between departure and arrival, allowing strikes at intervening foes.[69]
BlastoTinker 6 (Master 5, Blaster 2, Changer 2, Brute 2)[70]Produces plant-hybrid minions.[71]
BlindsideStranger[72]Prohibits others from looking, touching, or aiming at them.[73]
BlisterMaster/Stranger[74]Forms subtle bulges of warped space; bulges ‘pop’ on approach, revealing Blister duplicates.[74]
The Blue BomberChanger/Brute[75]Can assume three different forms. One tall and rubbery, one thin and metallic and one muscular and brutish.[75]
BonesawTinker,[76] Trump[77]Works with biology and the physical form.[76]
Can create hybrid capes.[76]
BrandishStriker 5, Breaker 1 (Brute 1)[78]Can become an immobile, nigh-invulnerable sphere.[79]

Can manifest weapons of solid or burning light.[80]

BurnscarShaker[81]A pyrokinetic with the side effect that makes her more emotionally detached as she uses her power.[82]
CadenceShaker[83]Is capable of utilizing vibrations to deliver debilitating and horrifying hallucinations to individuals in an area.[83]
CamionTinker[84]Specializes in vehicles.[84]
CanaryMaster 8[85]Her singing renders listeners suggestible to her commands.[86]
CapricornShaker Can manifest motes which turn into either water or stone, switching to the other material when they swap identities.[87]
CaryatidBreaker[88]Can turn into a statue-like form, which is invulnerable with enhanced awareness when still.
CaskTinker 5 (Blaster 1, Brute 2*, Master 1, Trump 2)[89]Produces and consumes chemical batches that enhance the drinker for a short while.[90]
ChariotTinker/Mover[91]Specializes in all forms of mobility.[92]
ChevalierStriker,[93] Thinker[94]Able to combine objects, selecting the properties he wants to remain active.[95]
Senses properties of objects, sees phantom images surrounding parahumans.[94][96]
Chicken LittleMaster Possesses basic control over birds, and can sense what they sense.[97]
ChopshopTinker[98]Has a macro specialization, where his creations work better the bigger they are.[98]
CircusStranger[99]Has access to an extra-dimensional storage space.[]
CitrineTrump[]Can attune areas to particular functions and can use this to cut off powers.[]
CinerealBreaker[]Creates plumes of dense, clinging ash, that can be incinerated at will - can travel through or reform from ash.
The ClairvoyantThinker[]Able to perceive vast amounts of information, seeing whole other worlds at once.[]
ClayShaker 4, Tinker 1*, Striker 1[]Produces a cone-shaped spray of liquid forcefield, covering roughly eight hundred square feet in seconds. Initially fragile.[]
ClockblockerStriker 7[]Can freeze objects and people in time for indeterminate period.[]
CodexBlaster/Thinker[10]Fires slow-moving, invisible shots that cause permanent brain damage and memory loss, briefly augmenting her own processing power in exchange.[10]
ContessaThinker >=12[][]Can instantly determine the exact steps needed to accomplish any task and perform them accurately.[]
CradleTinker[] (Mover, Master, Shaker) Specializes in making prosthetic limbs.[][] Has additional abilities due to nature as a cluster cape.
Crane the HarmoniousThinker[]Has an understanding of motion and ranges of motion.[]
CranialTinker[63]Specializes in neurology, including brain scans and draining or recording thoughts.[63]
CrawlerBrute[]Heals with incredible speed and adapts natural defenses or augmentations in response to any healing.[]
CricketShaker[81]Can generate and hear subsonic noises. Can use these noises to disorient and induce vertigo in her foes.[]
CrucibleShaker[]Able to create forcefield bubbles and then blasting everything within with extreme heat.[]
CrusaderMaster 6[][]Can create ghostly replicas of himself that can float and pass through body armor and walls.[]
CrystalclearBlaster,[] Thinker[]Throws explosive crystals that travel through walls.[]
CuffBrute[]Slightly enhanced physique and increased resistance to damage after getting hurt.[]
The CustodianStranger[]Made of air, invisible and almost completely incorporeal.[]
Damsel of DistressMover, Shaker[]Creates poorly controlled storms of unevenly altered gravity, time and space, with high recoil that flings her back.[]
DauntlessStriker/Trump[]Can slowly ‘charge’ objects with different powers. Powers included an electric spear, a forcefield shield, and boots that enabled flight.[]
DefiantSee: Armsmaster.[]
Deviant Changer[]Can manifest changes in reaction to wounds, but the changes are to areas far from the wound site.[]
DodgeTinker[63]Makes access devices for pocket dimensions.[63]
DragonThinker, Tinker[] Trump[]Co-opts and draws inspiration from the work of other Tinkers.[]
DredgeThinker 5[]Can gather memories from touched objects.[]
EchidnaMaster/Striker 10, Brute 8, Changer 2,[] Thinker,[] Trump/Master[]Produces copies of people she touches, including parahumans.[]
Superstrength, durability and regeneration.[]
Grows larger and stronger and gains more limbs by feeding.[]
Can 'smell' parahumans.[]
EdictMaster[]Can give one-word orders, that if disobeyed, cause her target to suffer random mental consequences ranging from a few hours of hiccups to death.[]
EidolonTrump[]Has the ability to adopt any power he needs at a given point in time, maintaining a set of two to four powers at a time.[]
Eleventh HourThinker[47]Provides numerical threat ratings.[47]
ErrorStranger[]Blurs others' perceptions around herself, causing them to lose coordination and make mistakes.[]
Facet Blaster/Striker[]Creates crystal growths with a touch and dismantles them for catastrophic artillery-level sieges.[]
FeintMaster/Shaker 2[]Can generate ‘hard light’ shells around objects and individuals, then mobilize these shells for a duration before they expire.[]
Felix SwoopMaster/Blaster[]Controls birds to which he applies fire immunity and pyrokinesis and then programs with movements.[]
FenjaBreaker[][]Warps space so she is simultaneously bigger and attacks against her are smaller.[]
FlechetteStriker, Blaster, Thinker[]Can imbue objects so they can penetrate anything.[]
FogChanger 8[] (Shaker, Stranger)[13], possibly Breaker[]Transforms into mist with varying solidity, with the ability to erode living matter.
Источник: [manicapital.com]
, Super Othello v2.3.2 serial key or number

Michigan quarterly review: Vol. 33, No. 2

Page  [unnumbered] BIBLIOGRAPHIC RECORD TARGET Graduate Library University of Michigan Preservation Office Storage Number: a ACT / I a / j a (RLIN)MIUGS / a (CaOTULAS) c MUL Id CtY I d DLC Id NSDP I d MiU I a ic I ansdp / aAS30 I b.M48 / a / j a Michigan quarterly review | a Michigan quarterly review. a Ann Arbor, I b University of Michigan. / a v. I bill. Ic26cm. / I a v Jan. / j a Vol. 1, no. 2- issued as the University of Michigan official publication, v. 63, no. 74 / I a Electronic serial mode of access: World Wide Web via ProQuest Research Library. /1: 4: J a General Interest and Popular Journals and Newspapers / j a University of Michigan. / a ProQuest research library. / a Michigan quarterly review (Online) Scanned by Imagenes Digitales Nogales, AZ On behalf of Preservation Division The University of Michigan Libraries Date work Began: Camera Operator:

Page  [unnumbered] Michigan Quarterly Review Vol. XXXIII, No. 2 Spring _ __ CI __ __ __ __ ___ MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW is published quarterly (January, April, July, and October) by The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan. Subscription prices, $ a year, $ for two years; Institutional subscriptions obtained through agencies $ a year; $ a copy; back issues, $ Claims for missing numbers can be honored only within two months after publication. Available on microfilm from Xerox University Microfilms, N. Zeeb Rd., Ann Arbor, Michigan , where full-sized copies of single articles may also be ordered. Reprinted volumes and backvolumes available from AMS Press, Inc., 56 E. 13th St., New York, Indexed or abstracted in Abstr.E.S., manicapital.com, manicapital.com, manicapital.com, manicapital.com, P.A.I.S.,P.M.L.A., Index of American Periodical Verse, Index to Periodical Fiction, American Humanities Index. Editorial and business office, Rackham Bldg., The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan Unsolicited manuscripts are returned to authors only when accompanied by stamped, selfaddressed envelopes or by international postal orders. No responsibility assumed for loss or injury. Second class postage paid at Ann Arbor, Michigan. Copyright ~ The University of Michigan, All Rights Reserved ISSN Editor: LAURENCE GOLDSTEIN Associate Editor: E. H. CREETH Administrative Assistant: DORIS KNIGHT Assistant Editors: LYN COFFIN TISH O'DOWD EZEKIEL LINDA GREGERSON JOHN KUCICH J. ALLYN ROSSER REI TERADA ALAN WALD Contributing Editors: PHILIP LEVINE ARTHUR MILLER JOYCE CAROL OATES Interns: Raymond McDaniel Jake Radcliff

Page  [unnumbered] EDITORIAL BOARD Ruth Behar, Chair Joseph Blotner David L. Lewis Robert Fekety Bobbi S. Low Sidney Fine Andrea Press Susan Gelman Anton Shammas Juan Leon Joseph Vining Joanne Leonard Charles Witke Published with financial support from The Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studies CONGRATULATIONS to RODNEY JONES, whose poem "Contempt" in the Spring issue of MQR will be reprinted in The Best American Poetry Coming in Summer and Fall, BRIDGES TO CUBA Edited by Ruth Behar and Juan Leon This double issue will offer a forum for the voices of those Cubans of the second generation who are seeking to form connections across the border of ideological hostility between Cuba and the United States. In political and cultural essays, in personal narratives, in fiction, poetry, drama, and visual artworks, the authors and artists will present the most comprehensive and diverse testimony ever assembled of how these Cubans and (especially) CubanAmericans understand their situation in this very significant decade of U. S.-Cuban relations.

Page  [unnumbered] CONTENTS The New Urban Poverty and the Problem of Race William Julius Wilson The New Urban Poverty and U. S. Social Policy Theda Skocpol Progress and Policy Roger Wilkins Moving Beyond the Academy Terry Williams Thirty Years Rising, Poetry Olena Kalytiak Davis After Reading "Le Demon de L'Analogy," Poetry Daniel Mark Epstein A Night's Work, Fiction Jaimy Gordon "I Can Take a Hint": Social Ineptitude, Embarrassment, and The King of Comedy William Ian Miller Late Elvis; Delayed Response, Poetry J. Allyn Rosser The Nightwatchman; In Passing, Poetry Colin Hamilton On Baul Poetry: An Interview and Six Poems Suranjan Ganguly & Allen Ginsberg Mynheer Roggeveen Comes to Amsterdam, Fiction James Hynes Lullaby for the Unborn, Poetry Diane Raptosh The Shape of History, Poetry Charles H. Webb BOOKS Ehrenreich's Game Steven G. Kellman Shakespeare's Jew Gorman Beauchamp Denying the Holocaust Joanne Jacobson

Page  [unnumbered] CONTRIBUTORS GORMAN BEAUCHAMP, who teaches mostly American and modern literature at the University of Michigan, writes occasionally on Shakespeare, a first love. His most recent essays are on Horatio Alger and Mark Twain. OLENA KALYTIAK DAVIS, a first-generation UkrainianAmerican, was raised in Detroit and now lives in the isolated Yupik community of Bethel, Alaska. She is presently completing her MFA through the writing program at Vermont College. DANIEL MARK EPSTEIN's sixth book of poetry, The Boy in the Well, will be published next year by Viking Overlook, and his biography of Aimee Semple MacPherson, Sister Aimee (Harcourt Brace, ), will appear in a Harvest paperback this season. SURANJAN GANGULY is from Calcutta, and teaches European, Asian and Third World cinema at the University of Colorado at Boulder. His work has appeared in East-West Film Journal, Film Criticism, Sight and Sound, Film Culture, and Ariel. He is currently writing a book on Satyajit Ray. ALLEN GINSBERG's latest book of poems, Cosmopolitan Greetings, will appear this season from HarperCollins. He was recently made Knight of the Order of Arts and Letters by the French government. JAIMY GORDON's latest novel is She Drove Without Stopping (Algonquin, ). She received an Academy-Institute Award for Fiction from the American Academy of Arts and Letters in She teaches in the Creative Writing MFA Program at Western Michigan University. COLIN HAMILTON is an American living in Prague, where he is a staff member of Yazzyk, an English-language literary magazine. His poems recently appeared in Bohemian Verses: An Anthology of New English Writing from Prague (Modra Musa Press, ). JAMES HYNES is the author of a novel, The Wild Colonial Boy (Atheneum, ). He is a member of the Society of Fellows at the University of Michigan, where he teaches creative writing. JOANNE JACOBSON is Associate Professor of English at Yeshiva University. She is working on a study of the intellectual impact of the Holocaust in the United States.

Page  [unnumbered] STEVEN G. KELLMAN's most recent book is The Plague: Fiction and Resistance (Twayne). Professor of Comparative Literature at The University of Texas at San Antonio, he is editor of the forthcoming Perspectives on Raging Bull (G. K. Hall), and film critic of The Texas Observer. WILLIAM IAN MILLER is Professor of Law at the University of Michigan. He is a student of the Icelandic sagas and has a special interest in honor, vengeance, and the emotions that maintain us as responsible social actors. These themes figure centrally in his recent book, Humiliation (Cornell University Press, ). DIANE RAPTOSH's first book of poems is Just West of Now (Montreal: Guernica, ). She teaches English and Creative Writing at Albertson College of Idaho. J. ALLYN ROSSER has received a Peter I. B. Lavan Younger Poet Award from the Academy of American Poets, and the Morse Poetry Prize for Bright Moves (Northeastern University Press, ). She teaches English and Creative Writing at the University of Michigan. THEDA SKOCPOL is Professor of Sociology at Harvard. Her most recent book, Protecting Soldiers and Mothers: The Political Origins of Social Policy in the United States (Harvard University Press, ), has received five scholarly awards since publication. She was a founding member and president of the Politics and History Section of the American Political Science Association. CHARLES H. WEBB, who teaches at California State University, Long Beach, is the author of Everyday Outrages (Los Angeles: Red Wind Books, ), and the editor of Stand Up Poetry (Red Wind, ). ROGER WILKINS is the Clarence J. Robinson Professor of History and American Culture at George Mason University. He was a senior urban and race relations official in the Johnson administration and wrote extensively on urban affairs in the s at The Washington Star, The Washington Post, and The New York Times. TERRY WILLIAMS is Associate Professor of Sociology at The New School for Social Research. Awarded a MacArthur Foundation Grant for , he has conducted extensive research into urban problems and served as consultant for numerous institutions and projects. His most recent books are Crackhouse (Penguin, ) and The Cocaine Kids (Addison-Wesley, ).

Page  [unnumbered] WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON is the Lucy Flower University Professor of Sociology and Public Policy and Director of the Center for the Study of Urban Inequality at the University of Chicago. He is President of the Consortium of Social Science Associations, Past President of the American Sociological Association, and is a MacArthur Prize Fellow. In addition to several books he has edited and coedited, he is the author of Power., Racism, and Privilege: Race Relations in Theoretical and Sociohistorical Perspectives (Macmillan, ), The Declining Significance of Race: Blacks and Changing American Institutions (University of Chicago Press, ), and most recently, The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, The Underclass, and Public Policy (University of Chicago Press, ).

Page  [unnumbered] 0)I RTSI "The Boston Review has been enviably successful in attracting distinguished authors and in finding new ones. -He/en Vend/er "The Boston Review is an extremely valuable review. -Toni Morrison "The Boston Review puts together the various bits and pieces of the life of our concern-politics, art, literature, history, and others-instead of keeping them safrly separate according to the conventions of most specialized magazines." -Howard Nemerov The Boston Review is pleased to announce its second annual Short Story Contest. The winning entry will be published in the October issue of the Boston Review and will receive a cash prize of $ The stories are not restricted by subject matter, should nor exceed 4, words, and should be previously unpublished. There is a $10 processing fee, payable to the Boston Review in the form of a check or money order. All entrants receive a one-year subscription to the Boston Review beginning with the October issue. Submissions must be postmarked by August 1, Stories will not be returned. The winner will be notified by mail. Send your entry to: Short Story Contest, Boston Review, 33 Harrison Avenue, Boston, MA

Page  [unnumbered] WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON

William Julius WilsonWilson, William JuliusThe New Urban Poverty and the Problem of RaceVol. XXXIII, No.: 2, Spring , pp. manicapital.com

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON THE NEW URBAN POVERTY AND THE PROBLEM OF RACE My remarks this afternoon on the new urban poverty and the problem of race are based largely on two research projects that we have recently conducted in the city of Chicago, although I believe that my general conclusions can be applied to any large industrial city in the United States. Let me begin by putting things in proper focus with a brief, but important, historical perspective that highlights previous research on race and poverty conducted in Chicago. The Inner City from the Historical Perspective of the Chicago School Since the early twentieth century, the city of Chicago has been a laboratory for the scientific investigation of the social, economic, and historical forces that create and perpetuate economically depressed and isolated urban communities. Much of this research has been conducted by social scientists affiliated with the University of Chicago. The most distinctive phase of this research, referred to as the Chicago School of urban sociology, was completed prior to Beginning with the publication of W. I. Thomas's The Polish Peasant in , the Chicago School produced several classic studies on urban problems, especially those under the guidance of Robert E. Park and Ernest W. Burgess during the s. These studies often combined quantitative and qualitative analyses in making distinctive empirical, theoretical and methodological contributions to our understanding of urban processes, social problems and urban The Tanner Lecture on Human Values at the University of Michigan, October 22,

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW growth, and especially commencing in the late s, the nature of race and class subjugation in urban areas. The Chicago social scientists made the neighborhood - including the ghetto or inner-city neighborhood - a legitimate subject for scientific analysis. "In contrast to the problem-oriented surveys conducted by their reform-minded counterparts in Chicago's settlement house movement," states the historian Alice O'Connor, "the university's studies would take a detached look at the social forces and processes underlying social problems, geographical and related forces Chicago, a community of neighborhoods, would be a laboratory from which one could generalize about the urban condition more broadly."2 The perspectives on urban processes that guided the Chicago School's approach to the study of race and class have undergone subtle changes down through the years. In the s, Park and Burgess argued that the immigrant slums and the social problems that characterized them were temporary conditions toward inevitable progress. They furthermore maintained that blacks represented the latest group of migrants involved in the "interaction cycle" that "led from conflict to accommodation to assimilation" (O'Connor ). The view that blacks fit the pattern of immigrant assimilation appeared in subsequent studies in the s by E. Franklin Frazier, a black sociologist trained at the University of Chicago. However, Frazier's awareness of the black urban condition in the s led him to recognize and emphasize a problem ignored in the earlier work of Park and Burgess - namely the important link between the black family structure and the industrial economy. Frazier believed that the upward mobility of African Americans and their eventual assimilation into American life would depend in large measure on the availability of employment opportunities in the industrial sector. In a fundamental revision in the Chicago framework appeared in the publication of St. Clair Drake and Horace Cayton's classic study, Black Metropolis. Drake and Cayton first examined black progress in employment, housing, and social integration using census, survey and archival data. Their analysis clearly revealed the existence of a color line that effectively blocked black occupational, residential, and social mobility. Thus, any assumption about urban blacks duplicating the immigrant experience has to confront the issue of race. Moreover, as O'Connor puts it, "Drake and Cayton

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON recognized that the racial configuration of Chicago was not the expression of an organic process of city growth, but the product of human behavior, institutional practices and political decisions" (O'Connor, ). Black Metropolis also deviated from the Chicago School in its inclusion of an ethnographic study, based on W. Lloyd Warner's anthropological techniques, of daily life in three of Chicago's south side community areas (Washington Park, Grand Boulevard, and Douglas) that were labeled "Bronzeville." In the final analysis, the book represented an "uneasy hybrid of Chicago school and anthropological methods and, ultimately, a much less optimistic view of the prospects for black progress" (O'Connor, ). In the revised and enlarged edition in , however, Drake and Cayton examined with a sense of optimism the changes that had occurred in Bronzeville since the publication of the first edition. They felt that America in the s was "experiencing a period of prosperity" and that African Americans were "living in the era of integration" (xv). They, of course, had no way of anticipating the rapid social and economic deterioration of communities like Bronzeville after the early sixties. The Inner City Today The most fundamental change is that many inner-city neighborhoods are plagued by far greater levels of joblessness than when Drake and Cayton published Black Metropolis in Indeed, there is a new poverty in our nation's metropolises that has farranging consequences for the quality of life in urban areas. Unless we try to understand the basic aspects of this new urban poverty and the forces that have created it, we stand little chance of addressing the growing racial tensions that have plagued American cities in the last few years. The very forces that have created the new urban poverty have also produced conditions that have enhanced racial tensions in our cities. The recent growth of the new urban poverty and the escalating problems associated with it have in turn aggravated these conditions. This vicious cycle has resulted in heightened levels of racial animosity. By the "new urban poverty," I mean poor segregated neighborhoods in which a substantial majority of individual adults are either

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW unemployed or have dropped out of the labor force. For example, only one in three adults (35 %) ages 16 and over in the twelve Chicago community areas with poverty rates that exceeded 40 percent were employed in Each of these community areas, located on the South and West sides of the city, is overwhelmingly black. We can add to these twelve high jobless areas three additional predominantly black community areas, with rates of poverty of 29, 30 and 36 percent respectively, where only four in ten (42 %) adults worked in Thus,, in these fifteen black community areas, representing a total population of ,, only 37 percent of all the adults were gainfully employed in By contrast, 54 percent of the adults in the seventeen other predominantly black community areas in Chicago, with a total population of ,, were employed in , which is close to the city-wide figure of 57 percent. Finally, except for one largely Asian community area with an employment rate of 46 percent, and one largely Latino community area with an employment rate of 49 percent, a majority of the adults were employed in each of the forty-five other community areas of Chicago.4 To repeat, the new urban poverty represents poor segregated neighborhoods in which a substantial majority of the adults are not working. Let me take the three Chicago community areas that represent most of Bronzeville - Douglas, Grand Boulevard and Washington Park - to illustrate the magnitude of the changes that have occurred in inner-city ghetto neighborhoods in recent years. A majority of adults were gainfully employed in these three areas in , five years after the publication of Black Metropolis, but by only four in ten in Douglas worked, one in three in Washington Park, and one in four in Grand Boulevard. These employment changes have been accompanied by changes in other indicators of economic status. For example, in Grand Boulevard medium family income dropped from 62 percent of the city average in to less than 37 percent in ; and the value of housing plummeted from 97 percent of the city average in to about half the city average in , with the most rapid declines occurring after When the first edition of Black Metropolis was published in , there was much greater class integration in the black community. As Drake and Cayton pointed out, Bronzeville residents had limited success in "sorting themselves out into broad community areas which might be designated as 'lower class' and 'middle class', Instead of middle class areas, Bronzeville tends to have middle-class

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON buildings in all areas, or a few middle class blocks here and there" (). Though they may have lived on different streets, blacks of all classes in inner-city areas such as Bronzeville lived in the same community and shopped at the same stores. Their children went to the same schools and played in the same parks. Although there was some degree of class antagonism, their neighborhoods were more stable than the inner-city neighborhoods of today; in short, they featured higher levels of social organization. By "social organization" I mean the extent to which the residents of a neighborhood are able to maintain effective social control and realize their common values. There are two major dimensions of neighborhood social organization: (1) the prevalence, strength, and interdependence of social networks and (2) the extent of collective supervision that the residents direct and the personal responsibility they assume in addressing neighborhood problems. Social organization is reflected in both formal institutions and informal networks. In other words, neighborhood social organization depends on the extent of local friendship ties, the degree of social cohesion, the level of resident participation in formal and informal voluntary associations, the density and stability of formal organizations, and the nature of informal social controls. Neighborhoods in which the adults are connected by an extensive set of obligations, expectations, and social networks are in a better position to control and supervise the activities and behavior of children, and monitor developments in the neighborhood - e.g., the breaking up of congregations of youth on street corners and the supervision of youth leisure time activities (Sampson ). Neighborhoods plagued with high levels of joblessness are more likely to experience problems of social organization. The two go hand-in-hand. High rates of joblessness trigger other problems in the neighborhood that adversely affect social organization, ranging from crime, gang violence, and drug trafficking to family break-ups and problems in the organization of family life. Consider, for example, the important relationship between joblessness and the organization of family life. Work is not simply a means of making a living and supporting one's family. It also constitutes the framework for daily behavior and patterns of interaction because of the disciplines and regularities it imposes. Thus in the absence of regular employment, what is lacking is not only a place in which to work and the receipt of regular income, but also a coherent organization

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW of the present, that is, a system of concrete expectations and goals. Regular employment provides the anchor for the temporal and spatial aspects of daily life. In the absence of regular employment, life, including family life, becomes more incoherent. Unemployment and irregular employment preclude the elaboration of a rational planning of life, the necessary condition of adaptation to an industrial economy (Bourdieu ). This problem is most severe for jobless families in neighborhoods with low rates of employment. The relative absence of rational planning in a jobless family is reinforced by the similar condition of other families in the neighborhood. And the problems of family organization and neighborhood social organization are mutually reinforcing. Factors Associated with the Increase in Neighborhood Joblessness and Decline of Social Organization Although high jobless neighborhoods also feature concentrated poverty, high rates of neighborhood poverty are less likely to trigger problems of social organization if the residents, both poor and nonpoor, are working. To repeat, in previous years the working poor stood out in neighborhoods like Bronzeville. Today the non-working poor are heavily represented in such neighborhoods. Since , two factors largely account for both the rise in the proportion of adults who are jobless and the sharp decline in social organization in innercity ghetto communities such as Bronzeville. The first is the impact of changes in the economy. As pointed out in my book, The Truly Disadvantaged, in the United States historical discrimination and a migration to large metropolises that kept the urban minority population relatively young created a problem of weak labor force attachment among urban blacks and, especially after , made them particularly vulnerable to the industrial and geographic changes in the economy. The shift from goods-producing to service-producing industries, the increasing polarization of the labor market into low-wage and high-wage sectors, innovations in technology, the relocation of manufacturing industries out of central cities, and periodic recessions have forced up the rate of black joblessness (unemployment and nonparticipation in the labor market), despite the passage of anti-discrimination legislation and the creation of affirmative action programs. The rise in joblessness has in

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON turn helped trigger an increase in the concentrations of poor people, a growing number of poor single-parent families, and an increase in welfare dependency. Although these processes have had an adverse effect on all poor minorities, they have been especially devastating for the lower-class black male. In , 69 percent of all males 14 and over worked in the Bronzeville neighborhoods of Douglas, Grand Boulevard, and Washington Park; by only 37 percent of all males 16 and over worked in these three neighborhoods.6 Thirty and forty years ago, the overwhelming majority of black males were working. Most of them were poor, but they held regular jobs around which their daily family life was organized. When black men looked for work, employers were concerned about whether they had strong backs because they would be working in a factory or in the back room of a shop doing heavy lifting and labor. They faced discrimination and a job ceiling, but they were working. The work was hard and they were hired. Now, economic restructuring has broken the figurative back of the black working population. Data from our Urban Poverty and Family Life Study show that 72 percent of Chicago's employed inner-city black fathers (aged 15 and over and without bachelor degrees) who were born between and worked in manufacturing and construction industries in By that figure fell to 27 percent. Of those born between and , 52 percent worked in manufacturing and construction industries as late as By that figure had declined to 28 percent.7 These employment changes have recently accompanied the loss of traditional manufacturing and other bluecollar jobs in Chicago. As a result, young black males have turned increasingly to the low-wage service sector and laboring jobs for employment, or have gone jobless. The attitudes of inner-city black men who express bitterness and resentment about their poor employment prospects and low-wage work settings, combined with their erratic work histories in highturnover jobs, create the widely shared perception that black men are undesirable workers. This perception becomes the basis for employer discrimination that sharply increases in a weak economy. Over the long term, discrimination has also grown because employers have been turning increasingly to an expanding immigrant and female labor force.

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW Many young men in inner-city neighborhoods today have responded to these declining opportunities by resorting to crime, drugs, and violence. The association between joblessness and social dislocations should come as no surprise. Recent longitudinal research by Delbert Elliott () based on National Youth Survey data from to , covering ages 11 to 30, demonstrated a strong relationship between joblessness and serious violent crime among young black males. As Elliott points out, the transition from adolescence to adulthood is usually associated with a sharp drop in most crimes, including serious violent behavior, as individuals take on new adult roles and responsibilities. "Participation in serious violent offending (aggravated assault, forcible rape, and robbery) increases from ages 11 to 12 to ages 15 and 16 then declines dramatically with advancing age!3 (Elliott , 14). Although black and white males reveal similar age curves, "the negative slope of the age curve for blacks after age 20 is substantially less than that of whites" (15). The black-white differential in the percentage of males involved in serious violent crime was close to 1: 1 at age 11, increased to over the remaining years of adolescence, and reached a differential of nearly 4: 1 during the late twenties. However, when Elliott only compared employed blacks and whites, he found no significant differences between the two groups in rates of suspension or termination of violent behavior by age Employed black males experienced a precipitous decline in serious violent behavior following their adolescent period. Accordingly, a major reason for the substantial overall racial gap in the termination of violent behavior following the adolescent period is the large proportion of jobless black males, whose serious violent behavior was more likely to extend into adulthood.8 The high rate of violence among jobless black males has in turn fed the image of young black men as dangerous. So, when they look for work in competition with immigrants, women, or whites, employers prefer not to hire "trouble." As one employer in our Urban Poverty and Family Life Study put it: All of a sudden, they take a look at a guy, and unless he's got an in, the reason I hired this black kid the last time is cause my neighbor said to me, yeah I used him for a few [days], he's good, and I said, you know what, I'm going to take a chance. But it was a recommendation. But other than that, I've got a walk-in, and, who

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON knows? And I think that for the most part, a guy sees a black man, he's a bit hesitant, because I don't know. In , a typical black man would be employed for years, unemployed for years, and out of the labor force for years from age 20 to age This was almost identical with the employment experiences of the average white man in By , as he ages from 20 to 65, the average black man will be employed for years, unemployed for 5 years, and out of the labor force for 11 years. His white counterpart will experience years of employment, 2 years of unemployment, and 7 years of nonlabor-force participation. The greatest declines in years of employment for both black and white men have occurred since The expected years of employment for the typical white man decreased from 39 to 36 from to For the typical black man, it declined even more sharply from 36 to 29 years (Jaynes and Williams ). The joblessness of black men is severest in the inner city. For example, whereas urban black fathers aged 18 to 44 nationally had worked approximately 7 out of every 8 years since age 18, inner-city Chicago black fathers had worked an average of only 2 out of every 3 years. Those aged 18 to 24 in the inner city had only worked 39 percent of the time (Tienda and Steir ). The employment prospects of black women have also declined because they have had to compete for service jobs with the growing number of white women and immigrants who have entered the labor market. Historically, white women have had lower rates of employment than black women. However, since the early s, largely because of the increased unemployment of black women, white women spend more years working (Jaynes and Williams ). Again, the problem is most acute in the inner cities. Urban black mothers, nationally, had worked over half of the time since age 18, whereas mothers from Chicago's inner city had only worked 39 percent of the time (Tienda and Steir ). The growing joblessness in the inner city has accompanied a decreasing percentage of nonpoor residents. This brings us to the second factor in the rise in the proportion of jobless individuals and families and the increase in problems of social organization in ghetto neighborhoods - changes in the class and racial composition of such neighborhoods. Concentrated poverty is positively associated with joblessness.

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW This should come as no surprise. As stated previously, poor people today are far more likely to be unemployed or out of the labor force. In The Truly Disadvantaged, I argued that inner-city neighborhoods have experienced a growing concentration of poverty for several reasons: (1) the outmigration of nonpoor black families; (2) the exodus of white and other nonblack families; and (3) the rise in the number of residents who have become poor while living in these areas. Additional research on the growth of concentrated poverty has suggested another factor- the movement of poor people into a neighborhood. The research findings do not consistently demonstrate the relative importance of each of these factors, and no firm conclusions can be reached.9 However, I believe that the extent to which any one factor is significant in helping to account for the decrease in the proportion of nonpoor individuals and families depends on the poverty level and racial or ethnic makeup of the neighborhood at a given point in time. For example, the community areas of Chicago that experienced the most substantial white outmigration between and were those with rates of family poverty between 20 and 29 percent in Today, four of these communities are predominantly black, but only one, Greater Grand Crossing, can be classified as a new poverty area. This community area, unlike the other three black community areas with poverty rates in the twenty percentage range in , remained virtually all black between to (% in and % in ). Since a clear majority (61%) of the adults in Greater Grand Crossing were employed in , the transformation into a new poverty area (44% adult employment rate in ) cannot be associated with the exodus of white residents (who usually record higher employment rates). Considering the strong association between poverty and joblessness, the sharp rise in the proportion of adults who are not working in Greater Grand Crossing could have been related either to the outmigration of nonpoor families and, perhaps even more significant, the increase in the number of poor families. Between and , despite a 29 percent reduction in the population (from 54, to 38,), the absolute number of poor individuals in Greater Grand Crossing increased by 64 percent (from to 11,). This could have been brought about either by the downward mobility of some nonpoor residents who became poor or by the inmigration of poor individuals and families during this period.

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON It should be pointed out, however, that between and , Greater Grand Crossing drastically changed from 6 percent black to 86 percent black. To the extent that whites were no longer represented in the neighborhood in substantial numbers by , the chances of the neighborhood becoming a new poverty area increased because African Americans in general are at greater risk of experiencing joblessness. In other words, even though Greater Grand Crossing's change to a new poverty area from to cannot be directly related to a white exodus, the emptying of the white population out of the neighborhood from to increased the area's vulnerability to changes in the economy after Of the fourteen other new poverty areas, five -including the three Bronzeville neighborhoods of Douglas, Grand Boulevard and Washington Park -have remained overwhelmingly black since Therefore their transformation into new poverty areas is mainly associated with economic and demographic changes among the African American residents." The declining proportion of nonpoor families and increasing and prolonged joblessness in the new poverty neighborhoods make it considerably more difficult to sustain basic neighborhood institutions. In the face of increasing joblessness, stores, banks, credit institutions, restaurants, and professional services lose regular and potential patrons. Churches experience dwindling numbers of parishioners and shrinking resources; recreational facilities, block clubs, community groups, and other informal organizations also suffer. As these organizations decline, the means of formal and informal social control in the neighborhood become weaker. Levels of crime and street violence increase as a result, leading to further deterioration of the neighborhood. The neighborhoods with a significant proportion of black working families stand in sharp contrast to the new poverty areas. Research that we have conducted on the social organization of Chicago neighborhoods reveals that in addition to much lower levels of perceived unemployment than in the poor neighborhoods, black working- and middle-class neighborhoods also have much higher levels of perceived social control and cohesion, organizational services and social support. The rise of new poverty neighborhoods represents a movement from what the historian Allan Spear () has called an institutional ghetto-in which the structure and activities of the larger

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW society are duplicated, as portrayed in Drake and Cayton's description of Bronzeville - to an unstable ghetto, which lacks the capability to provide basic opportunities, resources, and adequate social control (Wacquant and Wilson ). Although changes in the economy and changes in the class and racial composition of inner-city ghetto neighborhoods are the two most important factors in the shift from institutional to unstable ghettos since , we ought not lose sight of the fact that this process actually began roughly four decades ago. Many black communities were uprooted by urban renewal and forced migration. The building of freeway networks through the hearts of many cities in the s produced the most dramatic changes, as many viable low-income communities were destroyed (Sampson and Wilson ). Other government policies also contributed to the growth of unstable ghettos, both directly and indirectly. De facto federal policy to tolerate extensive segregation against African Americans in urban housing markets, and opposition from organized neighborhood groups to the construction of public housing in their communities have resulted in massive, segregated housing projects. Accordingly, since local acceptance dictated federal housing policies, public housing was overwhelmingly concentrated in the overcrowded and deteriorating inner-city ghettos - the poorest and least socially organized sections of the city and the metropolitan area. Public housing represents a federally funded institution that isolates families by race and class, and has therefore contributed to the growth of unstable inner-city ghettos in recent years. Finally, since , the shift from institutional to unstable ghettos has been aided by a fundamental shift in the federal government's support for basic urban programs. Spending on direct aid to cities, including general revenue sharing, urban mass transit, public service jobs and job training, compensatory education, social service block grants, local public works, economic development assistance and urban development action grants were all sharply cut during the Reagan and Bush administrations. The Federal contribution to city budgets declined from 18 percent in to percent in In addition, the latest economic recession, which began in the Northeast in , sharply reduced urban revenues that the cities themselves generated, thereby creating budget deficits that resulted

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON in further cutbacks in basic services and programs, and increases in local taxes (Caraley ). Unlike during the Ford and Carter presidencies, in which counter-cyclical programs such as emergency public service jobs, emergency public works, and counter-cyclical cash payments were used to fight recessions, there was no anti-recession legislation in and to combat economic dislocations in urban areas. As Demetrios Caraley has pointed out, if the anti-recession package voted by Congress in and had been introduced during the early s it would have amounted to 17 billion dollars (in dollars). The combination of the New Federalism, which resulted in the sharp cuts in federal aid to local and state governments, and the recession, created for many cities, especially the older cities of the East and mid-West, the worst fiscal and service crisis since the Depression. Cities have become increasingly underserviced and many are on the brink of bankruptcy. They have therefore not been in a position to combat effectively three unhealthy social conditions that have emerged or become prominent since (1) the outbreaks of crack-cocaine addiction and the murders and other violent crimes that have accompanied them; (2) the AIDS epidemic and its escalating public health costs; and (3) the sharp rise in the homeless population not only for individuals, but for whole families as well (Caraley ). Although these unhealthy social conditions are present in many neighborhoods throughout the city, the high jobless and socially unstable inner-city ghetto areas are natural breeding grounds for violent crime, drug addiction, AIDS, and homelessness. Life in inner-city ghetto neighborhoods, already imperiled by unprecedented levels of joblessness and social disorganization, has become even more difficult in the face of these new epidemics. Fiscally strapped cities have had to watch in helpless frustration as these problems - the new urban poverty, the decline of social organization of inner-city neighborhoods, the rise of unhealthy social conditions, the reduction of social services -escalated during the s and made the larger city itself seem like a less attractive place in which to live. Accordingly, many urban residents with the economic means have followed the worn-out path from the central city to the suburbs and other areas, thereby shrinking the tax base and further reducing

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW city revenue. I will now turn to the effect of these changes on the quality of urban race relations. The Situational Basis of Urban Racial Tensions Books such as Andrew Hacker's Two Nations () and Derrick Bell's Faces at the Bottom of the Well () promote the view that race is so deep-seated, so primordial, that feelings of pessimism about whether America can overcome racist sentiments and actions are justified. If these feelings were already high when the nation entered the s, they were strengthened by the recent rebellion in Los Angeles, the worst race riot in the nation's history. However, in this atmosphere of heightened racial awareness an important issue is often obscured or forgotten, namely that racial antagonisms are products of situations -historical situations, demographic situations, social situations, economic situations, and political situations. To understand why racial tensions either increase or decrease during certain periods and what has to be done to alleviate them, it is necessary to comprehend the situations in which these tensions surface. Failure to grasp the significance of this point leads one to conclude that there is little we can do about racism and its effects in America until deep-seated feelings of racial hatred are removed. I shall briefly elaborate on this point by focusing first on some changing demographic situations. Since the proportion of whites inside central cities has steadily declined, while the proportion of minorities has steadily increased. In the nation's population was evenly divided between cities, suburbs, and rural areas. By both urban and rural populations had declined, leaving suburbs with nearly half of the nation's population. The urban population dipped to 31 percent by (Weir ). And as cities lost population they became poorer and more minority in their racial and ethnic composition, so much so that in the eyes of many in the dominant white population, the minorities symbolize the ugly urban scene left behind. Today, the divide between the suburbs and the city is, in many respects, a racial divide. For example, whereas 68 percent of all the residents in the city of Chicago were minority in blacks (1,,), Hispanics (,), and Asian & others (,) and whites (1,,) percent of all suburban residents in the Chicago

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON metropolitan area were white. Across the nation, in , whereas 74 percent of the dominant white population lived in suburban and rural areas, a majority of blacks and Latinos resided in urban areas (Caraley ). These demographic changes are associated with the declining influence of American cities. By creating the situation whereby minorities tend to be identified with the central city and whites with the suburbs, they provided the political foundation for the New Federalism, an important political development that has increased the significance of race in metropolitan areas. The shift of the population to suburban areas made it possible to win national elections without a substantial urban vote. Suburbs cast 36 percent of the vote for President in , 48 percent in , and a majority in the election (Weir ). Suburban voters are increasingly in a position to outvote those who reside in large cities. In each of the three presidential elections prior to the election, the Democratic presidential candidate scored huge majorities in the large cities only to lose an overwhelming majority of the states in which these cities are located. This naked reality is one of the reasons why the successful Clinton presidential campaign designed a careful strategy to capture more support from voters who do not reside in central cities. The increasing suburbanization of the white population influences the extent to which national politicians will support increased federal aid to large cities and to the poor. Indeed, the sharp drop in federal support for basic urban programs since is associated with the declining political influence of cities and the rising influence of electoral coalitions in the suburbs. However, although there is a clear racial divide between the central city and the suburbs, racial tensions in the metropolitan areas continue to be concentrated in the central city and affect the relations and patterns of interaction between blacks, other minorities, and the whites who remain, especially lower-income whites. The new poverty in ghetto neighborhoods has sapped the vitality of local businesses and other institutions, and it has led to fewer and shabbier movie theaters, bowling alleys, restaurants, public parks and playgrounds, and other recreational facilities. Residents of inner-city neighborhoods are therefore often compelled to seek leisure activity in other areas of the city, where they come into brief contact with citizens of different racial, ethnic, or class back

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW grounds. Sharp differences in cultural style and patterns of interaction that reflect the social isolation of neighborhood networks often lead to clashes. Some behavior of residents in socially isolated inner-city ghetto neighborhoods - e.g., the tendency to enjoy a movie in a communal spirit by carrying on a running conversation with friends and relatives during the movie or reacting in an unrestrained manner to what is seen on the screen - offends the sensibilities of or is considered inappropriate by other groups, particularly the middle classes. The latter's expressions of disapproval, either overtly or with subtle hostile glances, tend to trigger belligerent responses from the innercity ghetto residents who then purposefully intensify the behavior that is the source of middle-class concerns. The white, and even the black middle class, then exercise their option and exit, to use Albert Hirschman's () term, by taking their patronage elsewhere, expressing resentment and experiencing intensified feelings of racial or class antagonisms as they depart. The areas left behind then become the domain of the inner-city ghetto residents. The more expensive restaurants and other establishments that serve the higher income groups in these areas, having lost their regular patrons, soon close down and then are replaced by fast-food chains and other local businesses that cater to the needs or reflect the economic and cultural resources of the new clientele. White and black middle-class citizens, in particular, complain bitterly about how certain conveniently located areas of the central city have changed following the influx of ghetto residents. The complaints have inevitably come to be directed at the ghetto poor themselves. Meanwhile, racial tensions between poor blacks and workingclass whites reflect an even more serious consequence of the social transformation of the inner city. Like inner-city minorities, lowerincome whites have felt the full impact of the urban fiscal crisis in the United States. Moreover, lower-income whites are more constrained by financial exigencies to remain in the central city than their middle-class counterparts and thereby suffer the strains of crime, higher taxes, poorer services, and inferior public schools. Furthermore, unlike the more affluent whites who choose to remain in the wealthier sections of the central city, they cannot easily escape the problems of deteriorating public schools by sending their chil

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON dren to private schools, and this problem has grown in the face of the sharp decline in urban parochial schools in the United States. Many of these people originally bought relatively inexpensive homes near their industrial jobs. Because of the deconcentration of industry, the racially changing neighborhood bordering their communities, the problems of neighborhood crime, and the surplus of central-city housing created by the population shift to the suburbs, housing values in their neighborhoods have failed to keep pace with those in the suburbs. As the industries in which they are employed become suburbanized, a growing number of lower-income whites in our central cities find that not only are they trapped in their neighborhoods because of the high costs of suburban housing, they are also physically removed from job opportunities as well. This situation increases the potential for racial tension as they compete with blacks and the rapidly growing Latino population for access to and control of the remaining decent schools, housing, and neighborhoods in the fiscally strained central city. Furthermore, the problems associated with the high joblessness and declining social organization (e.g., individual crime, hustling activities, gang violence) in inner-city ghetto neighborhoods often spill over into other parts of the city, including these ethnic enclaves. The result is not only hostile class antagonisms in the higher income black neighborhoods adjacent to these communities, but heightened levels of racial animosity, especially among lower income ethnic groups whose communities border or are in proximity to the high jobless neighborhoods. Although the focus of much of the racial tension has been on black and white encounters, in many urban neighborhoods Latinos have been prominently featured in incidents of ethnic antagonism. According to several demographic projections, the Latino population, which in had exceeded 22 million in the United States, is expected to replace African Americans as the nation's largest minority group between and They already outnumber African Americans in Houston and Los Angeles and are rapidly approaching the number of blacks in Dallas and New York. In cities as different as Houston, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia "competition between blacks and Hispanic citizens over the drawing of legislative districts and the allotment of seats is intensifying" (Rohter , 11). In areas of changing populations, Latino residents increasingly complain

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW that their concerns and interests cannot be represented by the black officials currently in office. The tensions between blacks and Latinos in Miami, as one example, have emerged over competition for jobs and government contracts, the distribution of political power, and claims on public services. But it would be a mistake to view the encounters between the two groups solely in racial terms. In Dade County there is a tendency for the black Cubans, Dominicans, Puerto Ricans, and Panamanians to define themselves by their language and culture and not by the color of their skin. Indeed, largely because of the willingness of Hispanic whites and Hispanic blacks to reside together and mix with Haitians and other Caribbean blacks in neighborhoods relatively free of racial tension, Dade County is experiencing the most rapid desegregation of housing in the nation (Rohter ). On the other hand, native-born, English-speaking African Americans continue to be the most segregated group in Miami. They are concentrated in neighborhoods in the northeast section of Dade County that represent clearly identifiable pockets of poverty. Although there has been some movement of higher income groups from these neighborhoods in recent years, the poorer blacks are more likely to be trapped because of the combination of extreme economic marginality and residential segregation. Finally, racial tensions have been aggravated by the political and racial rhetoric of charismatic group leaders. As President Clinton emphasized in some of his campaign speeches, during periods of hard economic times it is important that political leaders channel the frustrations of citizens in positive or constructive directions. However, for the last few years just the opposite frequently occurred. In a time of heightened economic insecurities, the negative racial rhetoric of some highly visible white and black spokespersons exacerbates racial tensions and channels frustrations in ways that severely divide the racial groups. During hard economic times people become more receptive to demagogic messages that deflect attention from the real source of their problems. Instead of associating their declining real incomes, increasing job insecurity, and growing pessimism about the future with failed economic and political policies, these messages force them to turn on each other- race against race. As the new urban poverty has sapped the vitality of many innercity communities, many of these messages have associated the

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON increasing social dislocations in the inner city such as crime, family breakdown and welfare receipt with individual shortcomings, lack of initiatives, and the solidification of a welfare culture. Blame the victim arguments resonate with many urban dwellers because of their very simplicity. Given its complex nature, it is not surprising that most people neither understand the forces that have generated the new urban poverty, nor have sympathy for the people who represent or are directly affected by it. It is therefore unfortunate that the sharp increase in media attention to the problems of the ghetto poor coincided with a conservative political atmosphere, particularly during the Reagan presidency, which not only reinforced the dominant American belief system that poverty is a reflection of individual inadequacy but resulted in minimal support for new and stronger social programs to address the growing problems of innercity poverty. Conclusion: Social Rights, Human Values and Public Policy The effects of joblessness on the poor in the United States are far more severe than those experienced by disadvantaged groups in other advanced industrial western societies. While economic restructuring and its adverse effects on lower-income groups have been common to all these societies in recent years, the most severe consequences of social and economic dislocations have been in the United States because of the underdeveloped welfare state and the weak institutional structure of social citizenship rights. Although all economically marginal groups have been affected, the inner-city black poor have been particularly devastated because their plight has been compounded by their spatial concentration in deteriorating ghetto neighborhoods, neighborhoods that reinforce weak laborforce attachment. In short, the socio-economic position of the inner-city black poor in American society is extremely precarious. The cumulative effects of historic racial exclusion have made them vulnerable to the economic restructuring of the advanced industrial economy. Moreover, the problems of joblessness, deepening poverty, and other woes that have accompanied these economic changes cannot be relieved by the meager welfare programs targeted to the poor. Furthermore, these

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW problems tend to be viewed by members of the larger society as a reflection of personal deficiencies not structural inequities. Accordingly, if any group has a stake in the enhancement of social rights (i.e., the right to employment, economic security, education, and health) in the United States, it is the inner-city black poor. Unfortunately, given the strength of the American belief system on poverty and welfare and the resistance to targeted programs for the truly disadvantaged, any program that would significantly improve their life chances, including increased job opportunities, would have to be based on or address concerns beyond those that focus on life and experiences in inner-city ghettos. The point raised by the late black economist Vivian Henderson almost two decades ago is even more true today. He argued that: The economic future of blacks in the United States is bound up with that of the rest of the nation. Policies, programs, and politics designed in the future to cope with the problems of the poor and victimized will also yield benefits to blacks. In contrast, any efforts to treat blacks separately from the rest of the nation are likely to lead to frustration, heightened racial animosities, and a waste of the country's resources and the precious resources of black people (Henderson , 54). The poor and the working classes of all racial groups struggle to make ends meet, and even the middle class has experienced a decline in its living standard. Indeed, Americans across racial and class boundaries continue to worry about unemployment and job security, declining real wages, escalating medical and housing costs, child care programs, the sharp decline in the quality of public education, and crime and drug trafficking in their neighborhoods. These concerns are reflected in public opinion surveys. For the last several years, national opinion polls consistently reveal strong public backing for government labor market strategies, including training efforts, to enhance employment. A Harris poll indicated that almost three-quarters of the respondents would support a tax increase to pay for child care. A Harris poll reports that almost 9 out of 10 Americans would like to see fundamental change in the health care system of the United States. A September New York Times/CBS poll, on the eve of President Clinton's address to the nation on his plan to deal with the crisis in our health care system, revealed that nearly two-thirds of the nation's citizens

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON would be willing to pay higher taxes "(so that all Americans have health insurance that they can't lose no matter what." And recent surveys conducted by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago reveal that a substantial majority of Americans want more money spent on improving the nation's educational system, and on halting rising crime and drug addiction. It should be emphasized that programs created in response to these concerns - programs that increase employment opportunities and job skills training, improve public education, provide adequate child and health care, and reduce neighborhood crime and drug abuse - would, despite being race-neutral, disproportionately benefit the most disadvantaged segments of the population, especially poor minorities. Nonetheless, are there not severe problems in the inner-city ghetto that can only be effectively addressed by programs targeted on the basis of race? For example, Roger Wilkins () has argued persuasively that the cumulative effects of racial isolation and subjugation have made the plight of the black poor unique. Many inner-city children have a solo parent and lack educational support and stability in their home. Wilkins contends that they need assistance to enable them to become capable adults who can provide their children with emotional and educational support. Accordingly, he maintains that special social service programs are needed for inner-city (presumably, minority) schools. No serious initiative to address the problems of urban inequality could ignore problems such as poverty, social isolation, and family instability, which impede the formal education of children and ultimately affect their job performance and prospects. Service programs to meet these needs could easily fit into a comprehensive initiative to improve the economic and social condition of all American families. To be sure, this component of the larger initiative would be introduced mainly in the most disadvantaged neighborhoods, including those that represent the new urban poverty, but the neighborhoods would not be restricted to those in the inner city and would not have to be targeted on the basis of race. The national opinion poll results suggest the possibility of new alignments in support of a comprehensive program of social rights. If a serious attempt is made to forge such an alignment, perhaps it ought to begin with a new public rhetoric that does two things: focuses on problems that afflict not only the poor but the working and middle classes as well, and emphasizes integrative programs

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW that promote the social and economic improvement of all groups in society, not just the truly disadvantaged segments of the population. I think that it would be important for President Clinton to develop such a public rhetoric and in the process provide the moral leadership to unite the country and move America forward. Such leadership was clearly missing in the previous two administrations, whose rhetoric on poverty and race did more to divide than to unite the country. The President of the United States has the unique capacity to command nationwide attention from the media and the general public and get them to consider seriously his vision of racial unity and of where we are and where we should go. If the President were to promote vigorously this vision, efforts

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON designed to address the problems of urban inequality and the causes and symptoms of racial tensions in cities across America would have a greater chance for success. NOTES 1Representative studies by those identified with the Chicago School include Robert E. Park and Ernest W. Burgess, The City (); N. Anderson, The Hobo () and Men on the Move (); F. Thrasher, The Gang (); L. Wirth, The Ghetto (); H. W. Zorbaugh, The Gold Coast and the Slum (); R. E. L. Faris and W. Dunham, Mental Disorder in Urban America (); E. Franklin Frazier, The Negro Family in Chicago (). (These were all published by the University of Chicago Press.) 21 am indebted to O'Connor for much of the discussion to follow in this section. O'Connor correctly points out that: "Subsequent historical research on immigrants and the black urban experience have shown the inadequacies of the Chicago school assimilationist framework, whether as a description of the migrant experience or as a predictor of how black migrants would fare in the city. Their view of poverty, social 'disorganization' and segregation as inevitable outcomes - albeit temporary ones - of the organic processes of city growth virtually ignored the role of the economy or other structural factors in shaping the trajectory of newcomers' mobility patterns. Their analysis also overlooked the role of politics and local government policies in creating and maintaining ghettoes, while its inherent optimism and air of inevitability suggested that there was little room or need for intervention" (O'Connor ). 3The figures on adult employment presented in this paragraph are based on calculations from data provided by the U. S. Bureau of the Census and the Local Community Fact Book for Chicago, The adult employment rates represent the number of employed individuals (14 and over in and 16 and over in ) among the total number of adults in a given area. Those who are not employed include both the individuals who are members of the labor force but are not working and those who have dropped out or are not part of the labor force. 4Community areas are statistical units developed by urban sociologists at the University of Chicago for the census in order to analyze varying conditions within the city of Chicago. These units were drawn up on the basis of the history and settlement of the area, local identification and local institutions, natural and artificial barriers, and trade patterns. Although there have been significant changes in the city of Chicago since , the community areas continue to reflect much of the contemporary reality of Chicago neighborhoods, and therefore are still useful in tracing changes over time. 5Figures on median family income and the value of housing are based on calculations from data presented in the Local Community Fact Book, and the Local Community Fact Book Chicago Metropolitan Area, Based on the and Censuses. 6The figures on male employment are based on calculations from data provided by the U. S. Bureau of the Census and the Local Community Fact Book for Chicago,

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW 7For a discussion of these findings, see Maryilyn Krogh, "A Description of the Work Histories of Fathers Living in the Inner-City of Chicago." Working paper, Center for the Study of Urban Inequality, University of Chicago, 81n Elliott's study 75 percent of the black males who were employed between the ages of had terminated their involvement in violent behavior by age 21, compared to only 52 percent of those who were unemployed between the ages of Elliott also found that involvement in a marriage/partner relationship was associated with a sharp termination in violent behavior among black males. No significant differences in the termination of serious violent behavior by age 21 were found between black and white males who experienced one or more years in a marriage/partner relationship between ages 18 and Racial differences remained for persons who were not in a marriage/partner relationship or who were unemployed. 9Douglas Massey and Mitchell Eggers () questioned the extent of this outmigration of higher income blacks from inner-city communities. They state that, "Although the levels of black interclass segregation increased during the s, we could find no evidence that these trends account for the rising concentration of black poverty." They argue that because of persisting segregation higher-income blacks have been "less able to separate themselves from the poor than the privileged of other groups" (). Accordingly, an increase in the poverty rate of a highly segregated group will be automatically accompanied by an increase in the concentration of poverty. However, their measures of segregation are census tract averages of Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA). The use of metropolitan averages obscures changes that have occurred in the out-migration of nonpoor blacks from the more impoverished inner-city neighborhoods -the focus of analysis in The Truly Disadvantaged. In a more recent study, Massey and Gross () were able to analyze the movement of the poor and the nonpoor at the neighborhood (i.e., census tract) level by utilizing data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, which recently appended census tract data to individual records. Because of missing address lists from to , they were only able to compute the probabilities of movement between and and through Their results show that in the early s nonpoor blacks moved out of poor neighborhoods at a higher rate than did poor blacks. However, "by the early s this differential had reversed itself and the poor had become more outwardly mobile than the nonpoor" (14). They found three factors that contributed to the growth of concentrated poverty. Two of these factors, as noted above, had been suggested earlier in The Truly Disadvantaged - the outmigration of nonpoor whites and the rise in the number of residents in concentrated poverty areas who have become poor- and a third involve the movement of poor people into poor neighborhoods. Three other recent studies on the significance of demographic shifts in the growth of concentrated neighborhoods also relied on neighborhood measures instead of metropolitan averages. All three studies revealed that the out-migration of higher income families from poverty areas contributed to the rise of concentrated poverty in these areas. Dividing neighborhoods into traditional, emerging, and new poverty areas in Cleveland, Claudia Coulton and her colleagues at Case Western Reserve University found that although more persons became poor in all of these areas during the decade of the s, the most important factor in the growth of concentrated poverty in these areas was the out-migration of the nonpoor (Coulton, Chow and Pandey ). Paul Jargowsky and Mary Jo Bane () of the Kennedy School at Harvard

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON focused their research on Philadelphia, Cleveland, Milwaukee, and Memphis. Using census tracts as proxies for neighborhoods, they designate ghetto neighborhoods (that is, neighborhoods with rates of poverty of at least 40 percent) and nonghetto neighborhoods, and report a significant geographic spreading of ghetto neighborhoods from to Areas that had become ghettos by had been mixed-income tracts in , although they were contiguous to areas identified as ghettos. Their results reveal that a major factor in the growth of ghetto poverty has been the exodus of the nonpoor from mixed income areas: "the poor were leaving as well, but the nonpoor left faster, leaving behind a group of people in that was poorer than in " (56). Jargowsky and Bane go on to state that as the population spread out from areas of mixed income, the next ring of the city, mostly areas that were white and nonpoor, became the home of a "larger proportion of the black and poor population. The white nonpoor left these areas, which also lost population overall" (). Thus, the black middle-class out-migration from the mixed-income areas that then became ghettos did not result in a significant decrease in their contact with poorer blacks because they relocated in areas that at the same time were being abandoned by nonpoor whites, areas that therefore experienced increasing segregation and poverty during the s. The most important of these studies was conducted by the economist Kathryn Nelson () of the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Using new data from HUD's American Housing Survey, Nelson identified zones of population within large metropolitan areas and traced the residential mobility among them during the s. The zones of population can be interpreted as proxies for neighborhoods. Because she was able to identify both the current and previous residence for most of the inter-metropolitan movers in these areas by zone, Nelson examined "intra-metropolitan movers at a finer level of geographic detail than the city-suburb level typically available in Census publications or microdata" (Nelson ). She found that during the s all households, including blacks and other minorities, had high rates of out-migration from the poorest areas. Moreover, she discovered that the movement out of poor ghettos increased "markedly with income, among blacks and other minorities as well as for all households; and that, rates of black out-movement from the poorest areas were higher and more selective by income in the more segregated metropolitan areas." However, she also found that the white exodus from the poorest zones in the more segregated metropolitan areas was even higher than that of blacks and more positively associated with income. This led her to speculate that higher-income blacks in the more segregated metropolitan areas may have fewer nonghetto neighborhoods accessible to them, so that when they leave ghetto areas they have less space to disperse because of patterns of residential segregation and, as Massey's research suggests, are more likely to have poor people as neighbors. 10These five communities are Oakland (% black in and % black in ), Grand Boulevard (% black in and % black in ), Riverdale (% black in and % black in ), Washington Park ( % black in and % black in ), and Douglas (% black in and % black in ). 11In contrast, of the thirteen other new poverty neighborhoods that experienced a significant drop in their white population, three, like Greater Grand Crossing, had become overwhelmingly black by because of the precipitous decline in the white population during the s. One had moved from a majority black to overwhelmingly black during the same period, one from overwhelmingly white to overwhelmingly black from to , two from a majority black to overwhelmingly

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW black from to , one from a majority white to overwhelmingly black from to Finally, the one neighborhood which has actually experienced a decrease in its black population since , but remains predominantly black, went from 59 percent white in to 72 percent black in , and then dipped to 67 percent black in REFERENCES Anderson, Nels. The Hobo. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. ____ Men on the Move. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Bell, Derrick. Faces at the Bottom of the Well: The Permanence of Racism. New York: Basic Books. Bourdieu. Pierre. Travail et Travailleurs en Algeria. Paris: Additions Mouton. Caraley, Demetrios. "Washington Abandons the Cities," Political Science Quarterly. , Spring. Local Community Fact Book for Chicago, Chicago Community Inventory, University of Chicago. Local Community Fact Book Chicago Metropolitan Area, Based on the and Censuses. The Chicago Fact Book Consortium, The University of Illinois at Chicago. Coulton, Claudia J., Julian Chow, and Shanta Pandey. An Analysis of Poverty and Related Conditions in Cleveland Area Neighborhoods. Cleveland, Ohio: Center for Urban Poverty and Social Change, Case Western Reserve University. Drake, St. Clair and Horace Cayton. Black Metropolis: A Study of Negro Life in a Northern City. New York: Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich, Inc. Elliott, Delbert 5. "Longitudinal Research in Criminology: Promise and Practice. Paper presented at the NATO Conference on Cross-National Longitudinal Research on Criminal Behavior, Frankfurt Germany, July Fanis, Robert E. L., and Warren Dunham. Mental Disorder in Urban America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Frazier, E. Franklin. The Negro Family in Chicago. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Hacker, Andrew. Two Nations: Black and White, Separate, Hostile and Unequal. New York: Charles Scribner's Sons. Henderson, Vivian. "Race, Economics, and Public Policy." Crisis Krogh, Marilyn. "A Description of the Work Histories of Fathers Living in the Inner City of Chicago." Working Paper. Center for the Study of Urban Inequality, University of Chicago. Hirschman, Albert 0. Exit, Voice and Loyalty: Responses to Decline in Firms, Organizations, and States. Cambridge, MA.: Harvard University Press. Jargowsky, Paul A. and Mary Jo Bane. Neighborhood Poverty: Basic Questions. Discussion Paper Series, #H, Malcolm Wiener Center for Social Policy, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA. Jaynes, Gerald David and Robin Williams, Jr. (eds). A Common Destiny: Blacks and American Society. Washington D.C.: National Academy Press. Massey, Douglas S. and Andrew B. Gross. "Black Migration, Segregation and the Spatial Concentration of Poverty." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Cincinnati, Ohio, April 1.

Page   WILLIAM JULIUS WILSON Massey, Douglas S. and Mitchell L. Eggers. "The Ecology of Inequality: Minorities and the Concentration of Poverty, " American Journal of Sociology 95 (March). Nelson, Kathryn P. "Racial Segregation, Mobility, and Poverty Concentration," paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Population Association of America, Washington, D.C., March Park, Robert E. and Ernest W. Burgess. The City. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Rohter, Larry. "As Hispanic Presence Grows, So Does Black Anger." New York Times, June Sampson, Robert J. and William Julius Wilson. "Toward a Theory of Race, Crime, and Urban Inequality." in Crime and Inequality (eds. John Hagan and Ruth Peterson). Stanford University Press. Spear, Allan. Black Chicago: The Making of a Negro Ghetto. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Thrasher, Frederic. The Gang. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Tienda, Marta and Haya Steir. " 'Making a Livin': Color and Opportunity in the Inner City." Paper presented at the Conference on the Urban Poverty and Family Life Study, University of Chicago, October Wacquant, Loic J. D. and William Julius Wilson. "Poverty, Joblessness, and the Social Transformation of the Inner City" in Welfare Policy for the s (edited by Phoebe Cottingham and David Ellwood). Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Weir, Margaret. "Race and Urban Poverty: Comparing Europe and America." Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, Occasional Paper , March. Wilkins, Roger. "The Black Poor are Different," The New York Times, August Wilson, William Julius. The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, The Underclass, and Public Policy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Zorbaugh, Harvey W. The Gold Coast and the Slum. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Theda SkocpolSkocpol, ThedaThe New Urban Poverty and U.S. Social PolicyVol. XXXIII, No.: 2, Spring , pp. manicapital.com

Page   THEDA SKOCPOL THE NEW URBAN POVERTY AND U.S. SOCIAL POLICY In his Tanner Lecture delivered at the University of Michigan, William Julius Wilson has offered an eloquent overview of his farreaching research on urban poverty in the United States. He has also spelled out some of the implications of his findings, suggesting desirable future directions for U. S. social policy. An apparent paradox appears in the argument. On the one hand, Professor Wilson argues that inner-city poor African Americans suffer from a recent and intensive set of deprivations that he labels the "new urban poverty." On the other hand, Wilson maintains that public policies should primarily be designed to cope not just with the distinctive problems of the inner-city black poor, but with problems that are broadly shared across racial and class lines in the United States of the s. I shall comment on Professor Wilson's lecture in three ways. First, let me underline the essential correctness of his causal analysis of the roots of the "new urban poverty." Secondly, let me suggest ways in which more can be said about the role of existing welfare programs in exacerbating the political and cultural reverberations of inner-city black poverty. Finally, let me defend, yet also somewhat amplify and redirect, Professor Wilson's call for broad social policy reformations in the United States. More than Professor Wilson does in this lecture, we need to face up to the undesirability of existing antipoverty programs such as Aid to Families With Dependent Children. We need to replace flawed welfare programs with other policies designed to facilitate family security through working parenthood for men and women across all strata and groups in American society. Presented at the Symposium on The Tanner Lecture on Human Values at the University of Michigan, October 23,

Page   THEDA SKOCPOL The Strength of Wilson's Analysis For many years I have been familiar with the basic outlines of William Julius Wilson's research on the urban poor, yet I found myself especially impressed with some of the new data that appeared in the Tanner Lecture. Especially striking is Wilson's use of over-time information on male employment patterns within the same segregated, poor Chicago neighborhoods. He documents sharp drop-offs in male employment rates from the s to the s, thus proving his contention that horrendous rates of joblessness underpin new levels of social disorganization in inner-city black neighborhoods. We are not dealing with god-given conditions that have persisted since time immemorial. Poor African Americans were drawn into industrial cities during and after World War 11, found opportunities for a time in industrial and other heavy labor, but then got caught in societal economic dislocations from the s onward. The loss of regular, adequately paid jobs for many men, in turn, left concentrated poverty neighborhoods facing heightened family instability and sharply reduced income -which translates into less support for businesses, services, churches, and other local institutions. Wilson could perhaps do more to spell out how social networks - which are typically maintained by women -have been adversely affected by male joblessness. But I am sure that connections can be drawn. Neighborhoods with less income and weakened institutions cannot as readily support or generate informal social networks. At the same time,, the frustrations of unemployed or underemployed young men translate into antisocial behaviors, including crime and gang activities, that place huge stresses on constructive social connections. People' s capacity to maintain positive social relationships ends up being overwhelmed. Mothers lose control of their children "to the streets," and many become demoralized themselves. Welfare and the New Urban Poverty Professor Wilson has performed a valuable service by stressing the industrial shifts and patterns of racial and class segregation that brought about inner-city "joblessness," especially among males, leading to the new urban poverty. Yet (at least in his writings on this

Page   MICHIGAN QUARTERLY REVIEW subject to date) Wilson has said little about women workers and the connection of female employment to family and neighborhood life. Given his argument that jobs for men make them more "marriageable" (which certainly is true), Wilson comes dangerously close to implying that adult women should marry wage-earning men and stay home to care for children, schools, and neighborhoods. This is a sweet picture-but it has never corresponded to reality for poor African-American women, who have always combined work at home with work outside the home. Nor does Wilson's implicit ideal correspond to reality for virtually any racial or class group of women in the United States today. Another omission from Wilson's analysis is a full discussion of how the expansion of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and other "welfare" programs have influenced the condition of the urban poor. Wilson seems to feel that his research on male joblessness is an adequate response to the claims of various conservatives that welfare programs contributed to social pathologies among the poor after the middle of the s.1 Various studies by Wilson and others disprove the claim that AFDC expansion caused rising rates of male joblessness or rising rates of out of wedlock childbearing among the black poor.2 In fact, given that AFDC benefit levels have stagnated or (in real terms) declined since s, it is absurd to suppose that impoverished people simply "choose" to live on welfare rather than work. There is, however, another reality that needs to be faced and analyzed. Clearly, AFDC and other "welfare" programs have not reversed certain disturbing trends among the American poor, urban or rural. AFDC has been a very unconstructive stopgap, thrown into the breach created by the drying up of decent jobs for the poor. Conservatives and moderate liberals may be right to suggest that U.S. welfare programs as currently structured facilitate the longterm maintenance of single-parent households and discourage either fathers or mothers from taking realistic steps to combine low-wage work with parental responsibilities. After all, many poor mothers realize that they can live a bit more securely on AFDC than if they take full-time low-skilled jobs without medical-care benefits and at wages too low to pay for decent and reliable child care. What is more, poor men and women alike find too few opportunities to combine job training or low-wage employment with the receipt of some public income assistance. Many of the family problems and the

Page   THEDA SKOCPOL barriers to employment that Wilson describes for the inner city poor are thus partially caused - or at least not corrected for - by the U.S. social policies. AFDC and related welfare policies make transitions to low-wage work difficult, especially because the United States lacks universal health insurance, effective child support enforcement, and other supports for working parents. Not only does AFDC prove materially ungenerous and bureaucratically cumbersome for impoverished mothers, receipt of "welfare" places these women in a culturally and politically demeaning position. Wilson argues that this is because Americans in general harbor long-standing prejudices against the poor and against welfare programs. But this is only part of the story. AFDC since the s has rendered poor mothers more culturally and politically visible as "public dependents" who apparently do not work for wages.3 This has happened during the very same historical era when working-class and middle-class women have increasingly entered the wage-labor market, even during periods when they are mothers of very young children. Back at its origins, AFDC-then called "mothers' pensions" - expressed broad and positive societal values about stay-at-home motherhood. Even if material benefits never met cultural expectations, mothers' pensions as originally conceived were an honorable form of public social provision, given to widows who were deemed to serve the community by staying at home to care for children.4 This is no longer true: mothers on welfare are increasingly dishonored as "non-workers" (even though many of them actually work for wages part-time, in addition to caring for their children). Meanwhile, we as a society are not facing up to the kinds of government and community supports that need to be in place to make working parenthood - and especially single working parenthood- truly feasible for adults and children. In sum, I am suggesting that Wilson's analysis can be strengthened by more attention to changing gender roles, relationships, and experiences. It is not just that young men are unemployed and sometimes turn to crime. It is also that young women are apparently living as non-employed single mothers, getting by on the only meager income supports realistically available to them, the only ones U.S. society offers them, via AFDC. This is happening at a time when employment patterns and to some degree social policies are stressing the combination of wage-employment and motherhood for nonpoor adult women. Poor women are thus split apart from more

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Histories of the Devil

Introduction

This book is about representations of the devil in English and European literature. Tracing the fascination in literature, philosophy, and theology with the irreducible presence of what may be called evil, or comedy, or the carnivalesque, this book surveys the parts played by the devil in the texts derived from the Faustus legend, looks at Marlowe and Shakespeare, Rabelais, Milton, Blake, Hoffmann, Baudelaire, Goethe, Dostoevsky, Bulgakov, and Mann, historically, speculatively, and from the standpoint of critical theory. It asks:  Is there a single meaning to be assigned to the idea of the diabolical? What value lies in thinking diabolically? Is it still the definition of a good poet to be of the devil's party, as Blake argued?

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Diabolical Witchcraft Necromancy Soliloquy Faust Double Carnival Nihilism Theology Madness Modernity Christianity Deconstruction Comedy Aesthetic Theory

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